More Upsetting

The 2016 NCAA Basketball Tournament came to a close earlier this week.

So, how did this year compare with last year and to previous years. Last year was one of the least upsetting tournaments. See my post: Not as Upsetting

This year was a big contrast to the tournament last year.

In a post three years ago, Most Upsetting Tournament?, I wrote about two stats that I keep during the tournament each year.

UF (Upset Factor) is a number that is a sum of the seed differences when a lower seed knocks of a team with a higher seeding. For instance, when a 15 seed knocks off a 2 seed the UF is incremented by 13. If an 9 seed knocks off a 8 seed then the UF goes up by 1. If a 10 seed beats a 15 seed, there are no UF points since the higher seed was the winner.

BP (Bracket Points) is probably familiar to most sports fans. When scoring your bracket you get 1 point for a first round win, 2 points for the second round and then 4, 8, 16 and 32 for the following rounds. Basically, you fill out the bracket with the higher seeded team winning each game. You then add up the points based on the tourney results. For the Final Four, the points are given when a #1 seed wins.

I was traveling during most of the tournament so I did not get to watch many games. I also am only writing this one recap post as the posts I have written in the past are some of my least visited posts.

However, I need to write about it to get it out of my head.

You can read some of my old posts by clicking on the links below.

How Upsetting?

How Upsetting? II

How Upsetting? III

How Upsetting? IV

How Upsetting? V

Last year was one of the least upsetting tournaments since the tournament expanded to 64 teams, this year it was one of the more upsetting.

2015 NCAA Tournament, Upset Factor, Bracket Points, Tournament UpsetsThe 61 UF points and 153 BP points from last year placed it near the bottom of the list of most upsetting tournaments. You can see below that there were more UF points in the first round of the tournament than all of last year.NCAA Tournament, Bracketology, Upset Factor, Bracket PointsIt is hard to forget that the first round of the tournament started with a lot of upsets. For the first time in tournament history there were ten double digit seeds that made it through the first round. However, how far did they continue on through the tournament?

NCAA Basketball, Bracketology, How UpsettingWith 73 UF points in the first round the tournament was on track to be very upsetting.

However, of the ten double digit seeds that won in the first round, only two of them won in the second round. This drastically reduced the available UF points in the following rounds.

The two double digit seeds that made it to the Sweet 16 played each other and that further reduced the available UF points.

In fact there were only another 26 UF points in the entire tournament and 14 of them were in the second round.

For 2016 the final UF was 99.

BP took a beating in the first round, but many points were picked up in the middle rounds with 1 and 2 seeds winning most of the games. The final BP ended up at 87.

So where does this year stack up against the most upsetting tournaments?

Upset Factor, Bracketology, NumbersThis year was the sixth most upsetting in the UF category. The tournament in 2014 was the most upsetting with 111 UF points.

Bracketology, Big Dance Results, Sport StatsWhen sorted by BP this year was in the bottom 10. There is a potential total of 192 BP so the total this year was less than half. However it was still 30 more than in 2011 since many of the 1 and 2 seeds advanced into the final rounds.

In 2011 the Final Four consisted of a 3, 4, 8 and 11 seed which meant that no BP were on the table. The last BP were awarded in the Sweet 16 round.

There is a lot of excitement seeing the top seeds play each other in the final, but it was also fun to see the upsets in the early rounds.

Now to switch gears to the NBA playoffs and Baseball.

Steven

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