More Fourth Round Upsets

Posted on March 26, 2023 by vanbraman

The fourth round of March Madness is now over.

There were three more upsets in the fourth round, but how upsetting has the tournament been so far?

There are two stats that I keep during the tournament each year.

UF (Upset Factor) is a number that is a sum off the seed differences when a lower seed knocks of a team with a higher seeding. For instance, when a 15 seed knocks off a 2 seed the UF is incremented by 13. If an 9 seed knocks off a 8 seed then the UF goes up by 1. If a 10 seed beats a 15 seed, there are no UF points since the higher seed was the winner.

BP (Bracket Points) is probably familiar to most sports fans. When scoring your bracket you get 1 point for a first round win, 2 points for the second round and then 4, 8, 16 and 32 for the following rounds. Basically, you fill out the bracket with the higher seeded team winning each game. You then add up the points based on the tourney results. For the Final Four, the points are given when a #1 seed wins.

Disclaimer: The First Four is ignored as all four games are against teams of equal seeding. There are no upsets in the First Four games. The traditional first round is now sometimes referred to as the second round. It is the first round to me.

With the upsets in the fourth round how were the UF and BP affected?

NCAA Tournament, Final Four, Upset Factor, Bracket Points, Most upsetting, metricsHere are the numbers through the fourth round. You can see that there were upsets in three of the four games but only one was a difference of five.   You can see that because of earlier upsets I had already zeroed out the entries for BP for the rest of the tournament. There were no Bracket Points left.

NCAA Tournament, Final Four, Upset Factor, Bracket Points, Most upsetting, metricsHow do these numbers stack up to the previous 37 tournaments?The UF increased by 10 to 95 in the fourth round and is 14th hightest at this point in the tournament.

NCAA Tournament, Final Four, Upset Factor, Bracket Points, Most upsetting, metricsThere is still a possibility of more upsets, but not many UF points are available. There are two scenarios that will give nine more UF which would make it 6th highest all time. However, this would take the 9 seed winning the tournament. A semi-final win by the 9 seed will put it in the top 10.

I also keep track of how many double digit seeds make it to each round.

NCAA Tournament, Final Four, Upset Factor, Bracket Points, Most upsetting, metricsThis year five double digit seeds made it to the second round but only one survived to make it to the third round. That lone survivor did not make it to the 4th round. There were five years where a double digit seed made it to the Final Four.

NCAA Tournament, Final Four, Upset Factor, Bracket Points, Most upsetting, metricsThis one is sorted by fourth round BP. There were no possibilities for BP after the third round so the final tally is 47. This year the tournament has gone the least according to plan.

Now to see how the rest of the tournament plays out. Will there be a few more upsets?

Who will win it all? Will it be the remaining 4 seed?

Steven

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Virtual Hike to Washington Crossing, Pennsylvania

Posted on March 25, 2023 by vanbraman

The next destination on my Virtual Hike was Washington Crossing, Pennsylvania.

virtual hike, washington's crossing, mercer, princeton, The previous destination on my virtual hike was the house Einstein lived in when he taught at Princeton University.

virtual hike, washington's crossing, mercer, princeton, The virtual hike from the Princeton first went by where the Battle of Princeton was fought during the Revolutionary War. Here you can see what is know as the Mercer Oak. You can find out more about Einstein’s House and the Mercer Oak in my post: Happy Pi Day II

virtual hike, washington's crossing, mercer, princeton, It then head west across New Jersey toward the Delaware River.

virtual hike, washington's crossing, mercer, princeton, The bridge across the Delaware River is only one lane plus a pedestrian path. I remember going across the bridge about 23 years ago. It was a bit scary.

washington's Crossing, delaware, new jersey, revolutionary warJust across the bridge was my destination, Washington Crossing Historic Park. I took this picture when I visited back around the year 2000. See my post: Washington’s Crossing

My next destination on my Virtual Hike is about half-way to the next ancestor related stop.

I have been setting shorter distances between destinations for better motivation for my daily walking and so far it has been working. I have been walking more each day and have made good progress on my Virtual Hike. I am still a few stops behind on my posts.

I will now be heading west and have some interesting stops planned that are family or history related.

Steven

Images in this post are from Google Maps and Street View

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